Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.590629 4.151254 4.773499 5.515874 6.378231 7.349326 8.527181
2024-10-06 3.088430 3.885417 4.849395 6.103568 7.695970 9.655461 12.257668
2024-10-13 2.605816 3.528423 4.731242 6.419847 8.738902 11.826068 16.271399
2024-10-20 2.185970 3.160398 4.518770 6.560585 9.570466 13.873270 20.543377
2024-10-27 1.763373 2.702587 4.092470 6.313610 9.803303 15.123952 23.943729
2024-11-03 1.579046 2.555085 4.082185 6.666665 10.977882 17.962943 30.301535
2024-11-10 1.442738 2.454392 4.120797 7.095210 12.341502 21.338270 38.207559
2024-11-17 1.295301 2.307009 4.054092 7.329229 13.411560 24.406035 46.199219
2024-11-24 1.139161 2.116099 3.877939 7.333470 14.064142 26.839551 53.508021
2024-12-01 0.976169 1.884542 3.589212 7.074597 14.168633 28.256124 59.111428
2024-12-08 0.836990 1.674818 3.306472 6.774793 14.131052 29.372728 64.303396
2024-12-15 0.761930 1.578974 3.228925 6.872519 14.920261 32.307617 73.983329
2024-12-22 0.673541 1.446514 3.066316 6.785718 15.349721 34.666545 83.159823
2024-12-29 0.642471 1.431035 3.147286 7.249245 17.106996 40.351941 101.570144
2025-01-05 0.593633 1.368401 3.115865 7.453554 18.308959 45.009313 118.612539
2025-01-12 0.540136 1.286213 3.026889 7.506153 19.157548 48.994982 134.927673
2025-01-19 0.469104 1.150763 2.791199 7.154389 18.914660 50.171929 143.915345
2025-01-26 0.446462 1.130001 2.829533 7.510487 20.611035 56.831498 170.244544
2025-02-02 0.430081 1.122312 2.899317 7.964176 22.673481 64.954147 203.107169
2025-02-09 0.404831 1.087240 2.892562 8.207338 24.192754 71.868363 234.099137
2025-02-16 0.371522 1.024966 2.803048 8.198940 24.971646 76.764370 259.890689
2025-02-23 0.330952 0.935998 2.625848 7.900320 24.804795 78.720392 276.294552
2025-03-02 0.293788 0.850796 2.445642 7.559325 24.435738 79.958934 290.548629